There are concerns that Germany is making preparations for potential military actions in the future, as leaked plans suggest.
Classified documents obtained from the German Ministry of Defense provide a detailed account of Russia's potential plans to intensify the conflict in Ukraine, potentially leading to a full-scale war within a year and a half.
Germany Preparing for War BEtwwen Russia, NATO
Troops from various nations leave a helicopter as they take part in a joint military drill and demonstration conducted by Japan's Ground Self-Defence Force 1st Airborne Brigade with participants from the US, Britain, Canada, Germany and others at Camp Narashino in the city of Funabashi, Chiba prefecture, east of Tokyo on January 7, 2024. (Photo by Richard A. Brooks / AFP) (Photo by RICHARD A. BROOKS/AFP via Getty Images)
The leaked plans, which were published by German newspaper Bild, provide a detailed account of a potential scenario leading to a significant global conflict. The documents suggest that Belarus could potentially serve as a strategic location for launching an invasion, similar to what occurred in February 2022 during the conflict in Ukraine.
The release of the alarming documents coincides with recent statements from Sweden's civil defense minister, who expressed concerns about the possibility of war and encouraged citizens to participate in voluntary defense organizations as a precaution against potential Russian aggression.
Germany's defense leaders are giving serious consideration to the potential threat posed by Moscow. The Bundeswehr is making preparations for a possible hybrid Russian attack on NATO's eastern flank by the summer of 2025, as per NY Post.
An undisclosed document, known as the 'Alliance Defense 2025', reveals Russia's plans to deploy an additional 200,000 troops within its borders. These forces are expected to be mobilized for a potential spring offensive against Ukrainian forces in the coming months.
According to leaked documents, Russia is expected to make significant advances through Ukraine by June, despite dwindling Western support and weaponry.
In July, Putin would initiate cyber attacks in the Baltics while also fueling violence in Estonia, Latvia, and Lithuania by alleging that ethnic Russian minorities are being singled out. This strategy has already been employed by individuals close to Putin to rationalize their assault on Ukraine in 2014 and once more in 2022 when Russia initiated its extensive invasion.
According to undisclosed information, there are plans that suggest a potential escalation between Russia and a military alliance. These plans involve a mobilization of forces by Mr. Putin in February 2024, followed by a spring offensive aimed at gaining control over a substantial portion of Ukrainian territory.
According to the scenario, it is predicted that by July, Russia would initiate cyberattacks in the Baltic states of Estonia, Latvia, and Lithuania. Moscow would then attempt to fuel unrest among ethnic minorities in the Baltic region, alleging that they are being singled out.
There is a possibility that Russia may deploy up to 50,000 troops to Belarus and western Russia by September, using the ongoing clashes as a reason. Subsequently, troops and medium-range missiles would be deployed to the enclave of Kaliningrad, situated between Poland and Lithuania.
In December, the document predicts a potential border conflict and civil unrest in the Suwalki Corridor, which lies between Belarus and Kaliningrad.
Russia to Make Baseless Accusations Against West
After a meeting of the UN Security Council in January 2025, there is a possibility that Russia might make unfounded accusations against Western allies, claiming that they are planning to take action against Putin's regime. This could potentially be used as a means to gather support and deploy troops to Belarus and the Baltics by March 2025.
According to the leaked document, in this particular situation, a significant number of German troops, approximately 30,000, would be deployed for defensive purposes. Meanwhile, it is estimated that a much larger force of around 70,000 Russian troops would have gathered in Belarus. In May 2025, the increasing tension may lead NATO to take action in order to deter further Russian incursion. This could potentially result in combat between Western troops and Russian forces.
Putin and Russian officials have consistently maintained that they would not escalate the conflict in Ukraine beyond the country's borders. Although the plans obtained by BILD are a potential scenario prepared by generals in the German army, European allies are taking Russia's threat seriously and making necessary preparations.During a recent "People and Defense" conference, Sweden's Civil Defense Minister, Carl-Oskar Bohlin, expressed concerns about the possibility of war in Sweden.
The sentiment was quickly echoed by the country's military Commander-in-Chief, Micael Bydén, who emphasized the need for thorough preparation at all levels and throughout society, according to CNBC.
German Defense Ministry officials declined to comment on the specific scenarios outlined in the document. However, they did mention that evaluating various scenarios, even if they are highly improbable, is a routine aspect of military operations, particularly during training.
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